List of Flash News about Bitcoin halving impact
| Time | Details |
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2025-10-26 16:15 |
Bitcoin S2F Model Forecasts: BTC $111k Now, $222k in 2026, $10.9M in 10 Years - Institutional Flows vs Halving Supply
According to André Dragosch, the Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model projects BTC at 111,000 USD currently, 222,000 USD by 2026, and 10.9 million USD in 10 years, implying a 58.3% CAGR; source: André Dragosch, X post, Oct 26, 2025. He explains that S2F measures scarcity as stock divided by annual flow and was popularized by PlanB, with Bitcoin’s halving events doubling S2F each cycle; source: André Dragosch, X post, Oct 26, 2025. Dragosch cites criticisms that BTC has underperformed S2F-implied prices, residuals exhibit negative drift and non-stationarity, and the model may be misspecified because S2F is time-driven by halvings, referencing Kripfganz (2020); source: Kripfganz 2020 via André Dragosch, X post, Oct 26, 2025. For trading context, he adds that institutional demand via Bitcoin ETPs and corporate treasuries currently exceeds the annualized post-halving supply reduction by over 7x, indicating flows can dominate issuance cuts as a price driver; source: André Dragosch, X post, Oct 26, 2025. He recommends using S2F only as a rough long-term guide and applying caution given its statistical limitations and omission of demand-side drivers; source: André Dragosch, X post, Oct 26, 2025. |
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2025-06-06 08:41 |
Bitcoin Price Trends: Crypto Rover Predicts Historical Pattern Repetition for BTC in 2025
According to Crypto Rover, Bitcoin's historical price patterns are likely to repeat, as illustrated in his recent analysis posted on Twitter (source: @rovercrc, June 6, 2025). This perspective is based on comparative chart data showing similarities between current and previous Bitcoin cycles. For traders, this suggests the possibility of another major bullish phase, mirroring past post-halving rallies. If this historic trend continues, Bitcoin traders could see high volatility and potentially significant upward price movements, offering trading opportunities for both spot and derivatives markets. Monitoring these repeating cycles can help inform entry and exit strategies for BTC, as well as related altcoins. |
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2025-05-31 12:46 |
Bitcoin Price Cycle Analysis: Why This Time Is Not Different – Crypto Rover Insights for 2025
According to Crypto Rover, historical Bitcoin price cycles are repeating in 2025, with current market patterns closely mirroring previous bull and bear phases (source: Crypto Rover, Twitter, May 31, 2025). For traders, this signals that established strategies based on past cycle tops, corrections, and accumulation phases remain effective. Observing these recurring trends, such as post-halving rallies and subsequent corrections, is critical for timing entries and exits. This analysis suggests traders should leverage historical data for risk management and profit-taking in the current crypto market environment. |
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2025-05-05 14:23 |
Bitcoin Miners Underperform BTC: Key Reasons and When to Trade Mining Stocks vs. Crypto
According to @LexSokolin, Bitcoin miners have notably underperformed compared to BTC’s direct price gains, primarily due to increased operational costs, rising network difficulty, and post-halving revenue compression as discussed by @mikealfred and @Invst_Informant (source: Twitter, May 5, 2025). Trading mining equities can make sense when seeking exposure to potential upside from operational leverage or regulatory arbitrage, but direct BTC trading offers purer price correlation and liquidity. For crypto traders, closely monitoring miners’ financial health and macroeconomic factors is crucial, as mining equities may lag BTC in bullish cycles but exhibit amplified volatility during downturns, impacting portfolio risk and performance (source: Twitter, May 5, 2025). |